|Table of Contents|

Effectiveness Evaluation of Ballistic Missile Defense System Based on Queuing Theory

《南京理工大学学报》(自然科学版)[ISSN:1005-9830/CN:32-1397/N]

Issue:
2011年04期
Page:
470-474
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Effectiveness Evaluation of Ballistic Missile Defense System Based on Queuing Theory
Author(s):
CAO LeiDONG QiangPENG WeiYU Pei-yi
Institute of Command Automation ,PLA University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210007,China
Keywords:
multi-level defense cooperative defense queuing theory defense effectiveness
PACS:
TN953
DOI:
-
Abstract:
To analyze the defense effectiveness of a missile defense system, the effectiveness models of the multi-level defense system and cooperative defense system based on the Erlang queuing theory are established. Both of these models focus on real-time requirements and the impact of detection probability of early warning system. An example is given to analyze the relationship between detection probability,missile kill probability, service channel,and defense effectiveness. Both the advantages and disadvantages of these models are discussed in detail,and the suitable application situations of each model are proposed. The results show that the defense effectiveness can be improved through such measures as deploying the system properly and determining the united defense model according to the value of missile kill probability and detection probability.

References:

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Last Update: 2012-10-23