|Table of Contents|

Estimate method for damage effectiveness of mobile mine obstacles attacking warship target flows

《南京理工大学学报》(自然科学版)[ISSN:1005-9830/CN:32-1397/N]

Issue:
2014年03期
Page:
371-
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Estimate method for damage effectiveness of mobile mine obstacles attacking warship target flows
Author(s):
Leng XiangwenZhu HongboZhang Xu
Department of Underwater Weaponry and Chemical Defense,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China
Keywords:
mobile mineswarship target flowsdamage effectivenessdamage probabilitytactics calculationquantitative decisionsprobability distribution of multidimensional random variablescolunmsmine releasing success ratesaction probability
PACS:
TJ61
DOI:
-
Abstract:
To solve the problem that the results of common calculation models of warship damage effectiveness deviate from the actual situations and can’t satisfy the requirements of tactics calculation and quantitative decisions,a target surface warship damage probability model is established using probability distribution of multidimensional random variables.The effects of the mine releasing success rate,action probability and mine releasing error are thought about comprehensively based on the dispersion characteristics of mobile mines when warships go though mine obstacles as a column.The results of the method proposed here are close to those of the Monte Carlo simulation.The change rule of warship damage probability with transverse distance of mines associates with the passing sequence when warships go though mine obstacles as a column or individually.The expectant damage probability of appointed warships of warship target flows is insured by optimal allocation of mobile mine obstacles.

References:

[1]张旭,滕兆新.水雷封锁作战决策科学化的思考[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2008,22(2):59-62.
Zhang Xu,Teng Zhaoxin.Scientific thinking on decisionmaking of mine blocking operation[J].Military Operations Research and Systems Engineering,2008,22(2):59-62.
[2]张旭,冷相文.自航水雷雷位次序坐标散布特性[J].火力指挥与控制,2004,29(s):47-48,51.
Zhang Xu,Leng Xiangwen.The distributed characteristics of ordering coordinates of SLMM’s position[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2004,29(s):47-48,51.
[3]王静龙.多元统计分析[M].北京:科学出版社,2008.
[4]滕兆新,张旭.水雷对舰船的毁伤概率计算模型及仿真[J].系统仿真学报,2008,20(16):4241-4243.
Teng Zhaoxin,Zhang Xu.Injure probability model and simulation of mines to warship[J].Journal of System Simulation,2008,20(16):4241-4243.
[5]王可定.作战模拟理论与方法[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社,1999.

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2014-06-30