[1]冷相文,朱红波,张旭.自航水雷障碍对舰船目标流毁伤效能评估方法[J].南京理工大学学报(自然科学版),2014,38(03):371.
 Leng Xiangwen,Zhu Hongbo,Zhang Xu.Estimate method for damage effectiveness of mobile mine obstacles attacking warship target flows[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Science and Technology,2014,38(03):371.
点击复制

自航水雷障碍对舰船目标流毁伤效能评估方法
分享到:

《南京理工大学学报》(自然科学版)[ISSN:1005-9830/CN:32-1397/N]

卷:
38卷
期数:
2014年03期
页码:
371
栏目:
出版日期:
2014-06-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Estimate method for damage effectiveness of mobile mine obstacles attacking warship target flows
作者:
冷相文朱红波张旭
海军大连舰艇学院 水武与防化系,辽宁 大连 116018
Author(s):
Leng XiangwenZhu HongboZhang Xu
Department of Underwater Weaponry and Chemical Defense,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China
关键词:
自航水雷舰船目标流毁伤效能毁伤概率战术计算定量决策多维随机变量分布纵队布放成功率动作概率
Keywords:
mobile mineswarship target flowsdamage effectivenessdamage probabilitytactics calculationquantitative decisionsprobability distribution of multidimensional random variablescolunmsmine releasing success ratesaction probability
分类号:
TJ61
摘要:
为解决目前常用的舰船毁伤概率计算模型计算结果与实际情况偏离较大,难以满足战术计算和定量决策需求的问题,运用概率论多维随机变量分布理论,构建了目标舰船毁伤概率模型。针对舰船以纵队方式穿越水雷障碍的情况,基于自航水雷的雷位散布特性,综合考虑了水雷布放成功率、动作概率和布放误差等因素的影响。该文方法结果与采用蒙特卡罗模拟法得到的仿真结果差别很小。目标舰船无论以编队形式,还是多艘独立依次穿越水雷障碍,其毁伤概率随雷位横向间距变化规律与通过序列有关。对自航水雷障碍中的雷位进行优化配置,可确保舰船目标流中指定序列舰船
Abstract:
To solve the problem that the results of common calculation models of warship damage effectiveness deviate from the actual situations and can’t satisfy the requirements of tactics calculation and quantitative decisions,a target surface warship damage probability model is established using probability distribution of multidimensional random variables.The effects of the mine releasing success rate,action probability and mine releasing error are thought about comprehensively based on the dispersion characteristics of mobile mines when warships go though mine obstacles as a column.The results of the method proposed here are close to those of the Monte Carlo simulation.The change rule of warship damage probability with transverse distance of mines associates with the passing sequence when warships go though mine obstacles as a column or individually.The expectant damage probability of appointed warships of warship target flows is insured by optimal allocation of mobile mine obstacles.

参考文献/References:

[1]张旭,滕兆新.水雷封锁作战决策科学化的思考[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2008,22(2):59-62.
Zhang Xu,Teng Zhaoxin.Scientific thinking on decisionmaking of mine blocking operation[J].Military Operations Research and Systems Engineering,2008,22(2):59-62.
[2]张旭,冷相文.自航水雷雷位次序坐标散布特性[J].火力指挥与控制,2004,29(s):47-48,51.
Zhang Xu,Leng Xiangwen.The distributed characteristics of ordering coordinates of SLMM’s position[J].Fire Control & Command Control,2004,29(s):47-48,51.
[3]王静龙.多元统计分析[M].北京:科学出版社,2008.
[4]滕兆新,张旭.水雷对舰船的毁伤概率计算模型及仿真[J].系统仿真学报,2008,20(16):4241-4243.
Teng Zhaoxin,Zhang Xu.Injure probability model and simulation of mines to warship[J].Journal of System Simulation,2008,20(16):4241-4243.
[5]王可定.作战模拟理论与方法[M].长沙:国防科技大学出版社,1999.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2012-12-10修回日期:2013-06-09
基金项目:海军装备预研项目
作者简介:冷相文(1978-),男,博士生,讲师,主要研究方向:水中兵器作战使用,E-mail:lxw0411@126.com。
引文格式:冷相文,朱红波,张旭.自航水雷障碍对舰船目标流毁伤效能评估方法[J].南京理工大学学报,2014,38(3):371-374.
投稿网址:http://zrxuebao.njust.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-06-30