[1]曹 奇,管佳林,肖修昆,等.基于协同理论的模糊多因素消防安全决策模型[J].南京理工大学学报(自然科学版),2014,38(06):818.
 Cao Qi,Guan Jialin,Xiao Xiukun,et al.Fuzzy multi-factor decision-making model for fire safety based on synergistic theory[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Science and Technology,2014,38(06):818.
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基于协同理论的模糊多因素消防安全决策模型
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《南京理工大学学报》(自然科学版)[ISSN:1005-9830/CN:32-1397/N]

卷:
38卷
期数:
2014年06期
页码:
818
栏目:
出版日期:
2014-12-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Fuzzy multi-factor decision-making model for fire safety based on synergistic theory
作者:
曹 奇12管佳林3肖修昆3况凯骞3
1.中国科学技术大学 火灾科学国家重点实验室,安徽 合肥 230027; 2.江苏省公安消防总队,江苏 南京 210013; 3.广州中国科学院工业技术研究院 城市公共安全技术研究中心,广东 广州 511458
Author(s):
Cao Qi12Guan Jialin3Xiao Xiukun3Kuang Kaiqian3
1.State Key Laboratory of Fire Science,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230027,China; 2.Fire Bureau of Jiangsu Province,Nanjing 210013,China; 3.Research Center of Urban Public Safety, Institute of Industry Technology of Guangzhou and C
关键词:
协同理论 模糊数学 多因素决策 消防 安全 隐患 治理 效果 投资 工期
Keywords:
synergistic theory fuzzy mathematics multi-factor decision-making fire safety hidden trouble control performances investments time limits
分类号:
X932
摘要:
为了选择降低火灾风险的消防安全隐患治理方案,针对消防安全决策具有多因素制约的特征,结合协同理论和模糊数学方法,构建了消防安全隐患治理方案的多因素决策模型。通过确定消防安全隐患治理方案的评选因素及各评选因素的权重,采用消防安全隐患治理方案决策模型获得最优的消防安全隐患治理方案。以苏州市古城区为研究对象,提出了三种消防安全隐患治理方案,采用构建的决策模型进行消防安全决策。结果表明:该决策模型能够反映消防安全隐患治理方案的效果、投资和工期。采用该决策模型优选获得的消防安全隐患治理方案符合古城区区域火灾风险实际,验证了其实用性。
Abstract:
To choose a fire safety hidden trouble control scheme to reduce fire risks,a decision-making model for fire safety hidden trouble control schemes is established here according to the characteristics of fire safety decision-making of multi-factor constraint and based on synergistic theory and fuzzy mathematics.By choosing reasonable evaluation factors and confirming the factors'weights,an optimal fire safety hidden trouble control scheme can be obtained by using the fire safety hidden trouble control scheme decision-making model.The Old Town district of Suzhou city is taken as an object.Three fire safety hidden trouble control schemes are proposed,and fire safety decision is made by the decision-making model.The results show that,the decision-making model can reveal not only the safety performances but also the investments and time limits of the fire safety hidden trouble control schemes.The fire safety hidden trouble control scheme selected by the decision-making model proposed here can meet the actual fire risk of the Old Town district,and its practicability is verified.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2013-09-12 修回日期:2014-10-14
基金项目:江苏省科技支撑计划(BE2010677); 广东省科技计划项目(2012B031500012); 中国科学技术大学火灾科学国家重点实验室开放课题(HZ2012-KF08)
作者简介:曹奇(1968-),男,高级工程师,主要研究方向:消防监督管理,E-mail:ccqi@sina.com。
引文格式:曹奇,管佳林,肖修昆,等.基于协同理论的模糊多因素消防安全决策模型[J].南京理工大学学报,2014,38(6):818-822.
投稿网址:http://zrxuebao.njust.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-12-31