[1]刘玉文,马建华,薛晓中,等.Bayes法鉴定武器系统射击精度研究[J].南京理工大学学报(自然科学版),2005,(04):407-410.
 LIU Yu-wen~,MA Jian-hua~,XUE Xiao-zhong~,et al.Firing Accuracy Evaluation with Bayes for Weapon Systems[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Science and Technology,2005,(04):407-410.
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Bayes法鉴定武器系统射击精度研究
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《南京理工大学学报》(自然科学版)[ISSN:1005-9830/CN:32-1397/N]

卷:
期数:
2005年04期
页码:
407-410
栏目:
出版日期:
2005-08-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Firing Accuracy Evaluation with Bayes for Weapon Systems
作者:
刘玉文1 马建华1 薛晓中2 廖晓斌1
1. 解放军炮兵学院远程火炮与兵器工程系, 安徽合肥230031; 2. 南京理工大学动力工程学院, 江苏南京210094
Author(s):
LIU Yu-wen~1MA Jian-hua~1XUE Xiao-zhong~2LIAO Xiao-bin~1
1.Long-Range Cannons and Weapons Engineering Department,Artillery Academy ,Hefei 230031,China;2.School of Power Engineering,NUST,Nanjing 210094,China)HJ
关键词:
武器系统 射击精度 Bayes 方法 验前信息
Keywords:
weapon systems firing accuracy Bayes method pre-experiment information
分类号:
TJ06
摘要:
为了在武器系统鉴定精度指标满足的条件下,减少试验弹药消耗量,降低鉴定成本,给出了一种数学模型和方法:对武器系统射击精度进行仿真,将仿真结果作为系统分析的验前信息,再进行适当规模的实弹试验,将试验结果作为检验子样,根据验前信息和检验子样采用Bayes统计决策方法对武器系统的射击精度进行鉴定。获得了Bayes决策不等式、Bayes决策风险计算公式和验前概率公式。该模型和方法应用于新型武器鉴定之中,降低了武器鉴定成本。
Abstract:
Given the desired precision index for the evaluation of weapon systems, reducing the ammunition consumption in experiment and lowering the evaluation cost is the purpose of the research. The paper builds a mathematical model and gives a method to achieve the purpose: First , to simulate the firing accuracy of weapon systems and to use the result as the pre-experiment informat ion; Second, to conduct a proper scale of live firing exper-i ment and to use the result as the test sample; Third, to adopt the statistical decision-making method of Bayes to evaluate the f iring accuracy based on the pre-experiment information and the test sample;Finally, to derive Bayes decision-making inequation, Bayes decision-making risk formula, and pre-experiment probability formula. The model and the method pave the cos-t effective way for the evaluation of new weapon systems.

参考文献/References:

[ 1] 高志亮, 李忠良. 系统工程方法论[M] . 西安: 西北工业大学出版社, 2004.
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[ 3] 黄柯棣, 张金槐, 李剑川, 等. 系统仿真技术[M] . 长沙: 国防科技大学出版社, 1998.
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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
作者简介: 刘玉文( 1964- ) , 男, 安徽滁州人, 副教授, 博士, 主要研究方向: 新型弹药外弹道理论及其作战使用, 炮兵C3 I 系统, E-mail: lyw1@ sohu. com。
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-03-03